12/6/2025
Political experts and analysts agreed that the area The Middle East It is a sensitive security stage, where tensions rise between Israel andIran In light of the stumbling of nuclear negotiations and precautionary US evacuation procedures in the region.
The Associated Press had quoted US officials as saying that the US State Department is preparing to issue an order to leave all non -primary workers from the American embassy and their family members in Baghdad AndBahrain AndKuwait.
According to the expert on Israeli affairs, Dr. Muhannad Mustafa, there is an Israeli anticipation and a preparation for a military strike against Iran in the event of the failure of nuclear talks between The United States of America And Iran, where Israel is waiting for this moment and preparing for it, and sees that it is the favorable moment that is difficult to repeat, and that it must not be missed.
He explained that what distinguishes these preparations is that there is a consensus and agreement between the Israeli political establishment and the military establishment on directing this strike.
Mustafa stressed that Israel has been awaiting this opportunity since 2009, and now the situation is completely different, as Israel has confidence that it is able to strike the Iranian nuclear project and harm it, especially after strikes Iran, weakening or neutralizing what Israel calls Iran’s arms in the region, especially Hezbollah.
He stressed that the issue of hitting Iran is a strategic matter that Israel has eagerly awaited, and that it sees that the current time is the historical moment of it.
American indicators
In the same context, the military and strategic expert, Fayez Al -Duwairi, confirms that the American measures indicate that there is information on the American side that there is a very high possibility to strike.
According to Al -Duwairi, the US administration cannot issue an order for non -basic employees and their families to get out of their workplaces unless there is almost certain information about the chances of the military strike.
For his part, Al -Jazeera correspondent in Washington, Fadi Mansour, indicated that the US Secretary of Defense Higseth HouseIn light of the evaluation of the middle leadership of security developments in the Middle East, it was announced that the families of American soldiers have left in more than one place in the middle leadership area.
A US defensive official told the island that the middle leadership is following tension in the Middle East, with confirmation that the threat is not a direct Iranian threat to the United States, but it may be related to the possibility of the development of the situation between Israel and Iran.
On the other hand, Al -Jazeera correspondent Noureddine Al -Dagheer explained from Tehran The Iranians see that the nuclear program has a political solution that can be reached, and that Tehran is ready to provide many data to build a confidence factor with Washington and the WestInternational Atomic Energy Agency By raising the inspection level.
Al -Dagheer adds that there are two parallel tracks in Tehran: the diplomatic path in which you hope to reach an agreement with the United States, and the second track is to prepare for the response if these attempts fail and military action occurred against Iranian nuclear sites.
Political analysis
In the political context, the political analyst and researcher at the Middle East Institute, Dr. Hassan Munimna, believes that the American administration does not want to fight a new war that leads to the collapse of stability in the region.
On the other hand, it refuses Iran to have nuclear weapons, noting that Washington is satisfied with the Israeli position as it constitutes a pressure factor on the Iranian side.
Munimna warned that the last positions of the president Donald TrumpEspecially after the phone call in which the green light was not given to the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu -Required International Criminal Court– It makes this strike if it occurs embarrassing to the American president.
The first researcher at the Al -Jazeera Center for Studies, Dr. Meak Makki, agrees with him, stressing that the context and mutual threats suggest that there is a real possibility of confrontation, especially since these developments come two or 3 days before the possible date to hold the new round of Iranian -American negotiations.
He pointed out that this means that America wants to tell Iran that it can launch the hand of Israel, as a pressure tool to accept the American offer submitted at the negotiating table.
Possible repercussions
On the possible repercussions, experts unanimously agree that the potential strike will not be individual but rather an attack campaign for at least a week, including nuclear sites but also strategic military and economic sites to destroy Iran’s ability to finance the nuclear project in the future, as Makki asserts.
In this context, Al -Jazeera correspondent Sami Al -Kubaisi from Baghdad explained that Iraqi sources confirm that the evacuation steps in the American embassy relate to measures related to the American diplomatic presence in a number of countries in the Middle East and not only Iraq, which indicates the comprehensiveness of the American preparations for the possible confrontation.
Makki warned that the entire region will enter into the context of the war, and the events will roll over hours and not days, and if there is no agreement during the next session of the negotiations, the strike will take place perhaps during the next week, which places the region in front of a dangerous turn that may reshape the map of regional balances.