28/6/2025–|Last update: 17:35 (Mecca time)
A new indicator revealed the list of countries most vulnerable toClimate shockAnd stressing that more than two billion people live in the countries of the “red zone”, where the risk of climate disasters increases, while the opportunities for access to the necessary financing decrease to adapt to these crises, according to the site “Euro News“.
According to the index, which was developed by Colombia Climate College in the United States with the support of the Rockefeller Foundation, the list includes 65 thirds, two thirds of which in Africa, including two European countries, Ukraine and Cyprus.
The index bears the name “CEF”, and aims to provide more accurate and inclusive assessments of climate risk, which helps in directing aid to countries in yesterday’s need.
Debt and climate fragility
“The climate shocks have become more frequent and difficult, but many countries facing the greatest risks suffer at the same time from huge debt burdens, restricting their ability to reach financial markets,” says the director of the National Disaster Center for Disaster Climate College, Jeff Schlesmalm.
The waves of heat, floods, hurricanes, droughts and other climatic disasters are witnessing an ongoing act Global warming.
According to the estimates of the World Economic Forum, these disasters may lead to more than 14.5 million deaths, and global economic losses worth $ 12.5 trillion by 2050.
On the other hand, the United Nations Environment Program indicates that the annual gap in financing adaptation to the climate may reach 387 billion dollars, which is the amount necessary to secure an effective response to climate change worldwide.
The researchers believe that the high costs of borrowing and the difficulty of obtaining financing remain many countries in the spiral of response to disasters and recovery from them without the ability to move forward in the path of mitigation and long -term adaptation.
“The traditional aid models that depend on the per capita output of the domestic product or the level of income, are no longer enough to measure the complex and increasing climatic risks.”
Why Cyprus and Ukraine?
Sub -Saharan African countries are dominating the “red zone”, with 43 out of 65 countries suffering from an intersection between climate and economic fragility, including Angola, Burundi, Gambia, Eritrea, South Sudan, Sudan, Zambia and others.
The index takes place four expectations for each country based on optimistic and pessimistic climate scenarios, and a time horizon that extends until 2050 and 2080. Ten African countries come at the bottom of the list in all scenarios.
As for the inclusion of Ukraine and Cyprus in the red list, it also returns to non -climate factors, according to the index, such as earthquakes in Cyprus, and the armed conflict in Ukraine, which affects the infrastructure of disaster management, adjustment systems with climate and the ability to fund response to crises.
Who is better prepared?
On the other hand, the list of the best countries in preparation for dealing with climate shocks includes a large number of European countries and members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, including Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Switzerland and Estonia, in addition to South Korea, Japan and the United States.
Eric Bellovski, Vice President of the Rockefeller Foundation for World Economic Affairs, says this indicator is an “important tool for opening a broader discussion”, especially before the Fourth International Conference on Financing Development to be held in Seville next week.
“Through the use of this indicator, donors can direct their support towards countries that stand on the edge of a climate disaster and need urgent intervention.”