5/7/2025–|Last update: 00:35 (Mecca time)
As far as the proposed terms of agreement appear to end the war in Gaza Falling humanitarian and political hopes, the accurate reading of its texts reveals an Israeli -designed Israeli strategy, based on the use of mystery as a multi -functional negotiating weapon.
The agreement deliberately drowns in what can be called “studied fog”, which are not decisive formulations that allow the Prime Minister of the occupation. Benjamin Netanyahu Move freely on two parallel tracks: passing the deal internally without the bombing of the coalition, and investing the ambiguity later to impose political conditions on the remaining post -war scene.
In what appears to be American pledges to a permanent ceasefire, and guarantees with a safe passage of humanitarian aid, behind which a more complicated legal and political scene is hidden, as “ambiguous phrases” are highlighted as intended negotiating tools, according to political researcher Saeed Ziyad.
The absence of clarity in central issues such as crossings, or the formula of Israeli withdrawal, is not – according to Ziyad’s participation in the events path program – to misdemeanor, but rather to Tel Aviv’s desire to maintain a sufficient amount of confusion, allowing her political and field maneuvering at each stage of the implementation of the agreement.
This approach finds its justification in the internal Israeli reality, as Netanyahu cannot submit a comprehensive and clear agreement without the risk of the disintegration of his government, especially since some of the terms of the agreement may be understood as a waiver of declared goals of the war, such as disarmament of resistance or eliminating its authority in Gaza.
Therefore, blurry is no longer a loophole in the agreement, but rather has become part of his structure, according to the expert in the Israeli affairs, Dr. Muhannad Mustafa, who believes that the agreement is not a final goal as much as it is a means of management for the stage of “before ending the war”, Netanyahu remains in the position of control, gives him wide negotiating flexibility, and prevents Hamas from extracting any clear political gains.
Pinching or permanent?
From this perspective, the Israeli military establishment appears less sensitive to the idea of clarity or inclusion, as it pushes towards a large agreement that may lead to ending the war, at a time when its limited ability to resolve the field is realized, and it is afraid of the cost of attrition, according to the appreciation of the military expert, Major General Fayez Al -Duwairi.
But on the other hand, it does not mind a phased agreement, provided that it preserves its face water, and it allows a gradual withdrawal under the name “re -spread”, which is another loose description added to the arsenal that Netanyahu leans, and instead of a clear commitment to the ceasefire, the Israeli army gives a margin to continue the “defensive operations”, which allows it to continue the bombing under a legal and political cover.
This type of conflict administration gives Netanyahu an opportunity to escape the deduction benefits, whether military or political, as going to a partial agreement does not mean an actual stance of the war, as much as it is a re -position in a long negotiating context, ensuring that political survival provides him with a mechanism to pressure the resistance without a major military risk.
On the other hand, you see the Islamic Resistance Movement (agitationIt has a real “second” opportunity – according to Ziad’s description – to extract a stop for the aggression, after the failure of the January agreement last, but it realizes that accepting a loose agreement without real guarantees will return matters to the zero point.
Therefore, the movement confirmed – in its recent statement – that it is ready to enter into negotiations “to implement the frame”, and not to re -negotiate its essence, while providing specific notes related to foggy items.
This anxiety is also strengthened by the American formula of guarantees, and if it confirmed the pursuit of a permanent truce, it has linked this to the results of the 60 -day negotiations, without an explicit commitment to the failure to resume the war if it fails, which puts the resistance in a permanent dilemma, between a conditional truce and tremendous human pressure.
Conflict conflict
In parallel, Netanyahu is investing the Israeli internal conflict as a negotiating tool as well, and Mustafa believes that the attraction between the political leadership and the military establishment serves the prime minister, as it depicts the approval of the agreement as a necessary balance within the coalition, and gives it a political cover in front of his right -wing base, which would reject a comprehensive agreement at once.
On the other hand, Israel employs the division of the Palestinian interior, and the weakness of the Arab political back, to remain on a greater area of control of the scene, and Tel Aviv realizes that the presence of brokers like Qatar and Egypt does not equal the effect of the decisive American cover, especially in light of Washington’s biased position, which combines unconditional military, diplomatic and political support.
What is remarkable in the context is that the same ambiguity has become a way to redefine the nature of the next stage. Instead of talking about “victory” or “defeat”, the Israeli focus on “crisis management” and “gradually dismantling Hamas” became, by strangling Gaza without announcing its occupation.
The ultimate goal – as it seems – is to impose field facts that keep the Gaza Strip in a permanent collapse, preventing reconstruction and keeping Israeli control through indirect means, such as insulating areas, imposing security conditions, and controlling aid.
In light of this anxious balance, the Israeli fog game appears more like a race with time, through which he tries to bite the gains without neglecting the strengths of strength, and aspires to impose a “endless end” of the war, keeping it as head of the Half government, and making the armistice agreement a temporary long -term solution, does not actually end the war, but rather runs it on the impact of mysterious texts and deferred situations.