7/7/2025–|Last update: 00:20 (Mecca time)
Attention is turning to the Qatari capital, Doha, after my delegation arrives Israel And the Islamic Resistance Movement (agitation) To engage in marathon negotiations in pursuit of a new ceasefire agreement and the exchange of prisoners.
In a move not far from Doha negotiations, the Israeli Prime Minister went Benjamin Netanyahu -What is required of International Criminal Court– To the American capital, Washington, to meet the president Donald Trump For the third time in 6 months.
Doha negotiations focus on the contentious points, most notably the extent of the withdrawal of the occupation forces from the Gaza Strip, the mechanism of entry and distribution of aid, and guarantees to end the war.
Analysts estimate that the closest scenario to reality is to reach a 60 -day partial deal, in a similar scenario to “January 2025In the midst of fear of the return of Israel to the war after violating the first agreement on March 18.
Hamas guarantees
According to this estimate, Hamas adheres to the negotiations by requesting guarantees on 3 points that cannot be waived, namely stopping killing and displacement, starvation, and withdrawing to the buffer zone, according to the researcher in political affairs, Saeed Ziyad, to the “Path of Events” program.
Doha negotiations focus on Israeli withdrawal and humanitarian aid, while stopping the war will be final the focus of the Trump and Netanyahu meeting.
After more than 21 months have passed since the war, Israel realizes that Hamas remains in Gaza, so it is looking for means “that do not need it to stop the war”, through military and security operations that transform the sector into a permissible area.
On the other side, Tel Aviv and Washington want to disarm Gaza, and do not want a Palestinian ruling in it, as well as an Israeli desire to keep my axis Philadelphia AndMorag South.
Based on this scene, Gaza is going to the stage of the “applied siege against reconstruction”, which is a deadly option that is no less than the permanence of war, the destruction of the Strip and the displacement of its inhabitants, according to Ziyad, which imposes on the Palestinians with steadfastness and fighting, with the necessity of providing an Arab umbrella that protects the Palestinians.
Two options are not third
As for what is occupying the Netanyahu government – which faces internal pressure to stop the war and restore the prisoners – it is to discuss a final agreement on the next day of the war, and not the interim agreement on the partial deal, according to Israeli expert Muhannad Mustafa.
The former US State Department official, Thomas Warric, agrees with this proposal, as Trump and Netanyahu’s upcoming meeting focuses on the future of Gaza, not about Doha’s negotiations and details.
According to this thinking, Israel may negotiate the papers of force it possesses, but it will not give up on it, which is the lack of full withdrawal from the Gaza Strip, the lack of pledge to stop the war after the truce of the 60 days, and not to dismantle the American -Israeli aid system.
But this Israeli militancy will not withdraw from the prisoner’s file, as Netanyahu wants to restore some detainees, and to weaken this paper, which Hamas possesses – according to Mustafa – in exchange for strengthening Israel’s negotiating papers.
Based on this situation, Israel appears to have two options that have no third.
No American guarantees
Between the demands of Hamas and the options of Israel, the White House master does not seem to give guarantees to the Palestinians, because the American view believes that Hamas wants to extend the negotiations without giving up its authority in Gaza and not handing over its weapons, according to Warric.
Washington tends to a plan based on a temporary administration of Gaza that brings together an international government and Palestinian agencies that are not affiliated with political parties, and to send international peacekeepers.
Gaza’s disarmament is also a prerequisite for the reconstruction of the Strip, in addition to ensuring that these international forces are not attacked.
In this context, the Israeli website “Walla” quoted US officials as saying that Trump wants to agree with Netanyahu on the conditions for ending the war in Gaza, as the issue of the next day of the war will be a central issue in the upcoming meeting.
According to these officials, it is the thorny issue that will control Gaza after the war, and that Israel and the United States want to avoid a scenario -like scenario Hezbollah In Lebanon.