Washington- In light of the increasing calls to find an alternative to the American political system based on the party bilateral, and with the low levels of voter satisfaction with the performance of the Democratic and Republican parties, the billionaire declared Elon Musk About his intention to establish a new party called “America’s Party”.
This trend came after public tension between Musk and the president Donald TrumpIt reached its climax after the Republicans passed by what is known as the “major and beautiful draft law”, which Musk described as “irresponsible and weakening the strength of America in the global scene.”
Musk, who has an exceptional influence through his wealth, which is estimated at 342 billion dollars and his digital platforms, in recent months he directed repeated criticism of what he describes as “institutional imbalance” in addressing public debt, and was presented to millions of his followers on a platform “X“The idea of establishing a new party seeks – according to its expression – to represent the” true will of the people “, in exchange for what it considers a complicity between the two traditional parties against public interests.
Rejection of personal verb
The Musk Many initiative appears to be a person’s reaction to the escalation of his clash with Trump, more than it is a deliberate plan to build an institutional political project. This is what former Republican MP Thomas Garrett, who described the new party as a “joke in the long run”, goes, pointing out that “Mask does not have a clear electoral base, nor a specific political program, but rather depends on its popularity and wealth only.”
He added to Al -Jazeera Net that “the percentage of those who love a mask and does not like Trump does not exceed 4% of the voters, and this is a meager base that is not built on a serious national project,” in reference to the analysis of data prepared by the CNN network that showed that the percentage of those who support a mask and oppose Trump represents less than 1 in every 20 voters.
On the other hand, the chief researcher at the University of Johns Hopkins, Hafez Al -Ghuwail, sees that in the Mask initiative deserves to be stopped and analyzed, explaining that “American policy today is managed by money and technologies, and a mask that owns them together”, in addition to what he describes as “digital populism capable of attracting a new generation of voters who are planned for the traditional party system.”
Despite what Elon Musk has huge financial resources and wide -impact digital platforms, the establishment of a political party in the United States is not only subject to the logic of financial and technical influence, but rather through a legal and complex system that imposes strict conditions at the level of each state separately.
According to local electoral laws, the new party must collect a large number of signatures in each of the 50 states, and the required number varies according to the number of voters in each of them. For example, North Carolina requires the collection of about 14 thousand signatures from 3 different electoral districts, in order to be officially recognized and included on the polling paper.
The national recognition of the party requires an official advice to the Federal Electoral Committee, while adhering to the laws of electoral financing and periodic disclosure of the sources of donations.
Musk plan
However, Brett Kabul, a lawyer who specializes in election laws, believes that Musk may resort to classifying the “political organization” under Clause 527, a regulatory formula recognized by the American Tax Authority and allows parties to raise funds without a specific ceiling, provided that the party is not running in the name of the party at the federal level.
Lawyer Kabul – Axius – explained that this formula does not impose any restrictions on the volume of donations or its sources, which makes it a flexible option for the emerging campaigns that focus on local influence.
Despite the absence of the organizational structure and the clear political program of the party so far, it seems that Mask is betting on playing the role of “weighted voice” in the close races, by pushing independent candidates or from his party in specific circles capable of turning the scales of voting.
He alluded in leaflets on the “X” platform for his desire for his party to be a decisive element to pass or drop the controversial legislation within CongressConsidering this approach, it represents – according to the true will of the people in exchange for the traditional lineup of the two parties about their interests.
Some analysts argue that he has the ability to benefit from the criticism of Trump, and his rival for the “populist” weapon to attract unconventional segments of American voters, especially between the independent youth category and those who are indifferent to the performance of the two traditional parties, especially in the midterm elections for the year 2026.
In this context, the researcher Hafez Al -Ghuwail told Al -Jazeera Net that “Mask has the new political capital: money, platforms and digital popularity.”
He adds that his heavy presence on the communication platforms, and presenting it to himself as a “outside the institution and order”, may give him an attractiveness in categories looking for an alternative speech, especially from the category that is disciplined from the performance of the Democratic and Republican parties in files such as wars, climate and economics.
Al -Ghuwail believes that Musk may find support from influential figures in the world of technology and entrepreneurship, who adopt a critical position on the traditional political establishment, without necessarily on the right of the political map or its left, and it can also tend “supporters of the small government” in which they may find “a vote against bureaucracy and excessive taxes.”
Previous experiences
This is not the first time that a person with a financial or symbolic influence has tried to break the monopoly of the two parties of the American political scene.
In 1992, billionaire Ross Peru fought the presidential elections as an independent candidate, and obtained about 19% of popular votes without winning any state. Nevertheless, it is widely believed to have contributed to a loss George Bush the father before Bill ClintonBy dispersing the voices of conservatives.
The Green Party has similar experiences, most notably in the 2000 elections by candidacy Nader RalphAs many suggested that the voices obtained by the party, especially in Florida, contributed to a victory George Bush Jr. On the Al -Ghour family with a little difference.
The researchers call this “the effect of the weighted cuff”, that is, the ability of a third party to tilt the results in moments of decisiveness, not through the majority, but by occupying a strategic location on the political map. Despite these articulated moments, none of these initiatives succeeded in establishing a sustainable party structure that breaks the regime of the two traditional parties.
“Ross Peru had money too. I may be wrong, but I do not see any susceptibility to the long term, but rather a ridiculous idea.”
In his opinion, the potential impact of the Musk Party – if it happens – will be “short -term”, and may only touch in the midterm elections if they interfere in some local races. But he does not see any serious threat from the Mask party against the Republican. It is considered that the real division that may open the way for a third party may come from within the Democratic Party, not from the right, especially with the increasing gap between the progressive and traditional democrats.