During the recent confrontation between the Zionist entity and Iran, which witnessed American-concentrated and dense Israeli attacks at the utmost traditional air strikes (non-nuclear) and targeted Iranian scientists and its scientific capabilities and its nuclear program facilities spread through the vast Iranian geography, experts and researchers expressed a great surprise at the absence of a very important element in the calculation of the equation of deterrence and counter-deterrence between Iran and the entity Zionist.
In the light of Iran, Iran possesses hundreds of kilograms of highly enriched uranium (HeU) by 60 percent, according to the reports of the International Atomic Energy Agency, and no denial was issued by the Iranian government and its competent agencies, experts asked:
Why did Israel not count- when its air campaign began on Iran- an account that Iran’s development of this highly enriched uranium is “dirty” nuclear bombs capable of causing serious radiological pollution if it hit any region within the Zionist entity, so it will make it an invalid region? And why did this possibility not originally present the discussion and analysis in the regional and international trading spaces.
This question led others to the proposal of an existing Iranian nuclear deterrent equation, and it may lead to a barter that makes the Middle East a nuclear weapon -free area.
“Dirty” bombs
In turn, the Irish thinker and professor of theoretical physics, Professor Thomas Green, presents what he calls a modest proposal, according to which Iran has already enjoys a nuclear deterrent now according to an equation that Green beautifies as follows:
Effective drones + highly enriched uranium (HeU) by 60 percent = small “dirty” nuclear bombs that can be bodied in Middle East nuclear weapons!
The last round of the conflict that the Zionist entity against the Islamic Republic has proven that the Iranians are able to deliver quite a few drones they fired to Tel Aviv.
Moreover, we have been told that they possess hundreds of kilograms of highly fertilized uranium. It is impossible to miss the Iranian army the simple recipe for the “nuclear deterrence” that these two facts refer.
If Iran launches fifty suicide bombers, each of which is loaded with one kilogram of highly enriched uranium, towards Tel Aviv, then at least 20 aircraft (or more (or more if the Israelis and their neighbors are wise enough to not intercede).
Even if these “dirty” plane bombs explode in random locations, the city that you will reach is very effective. This will be an attack that leads to an entry ban Long -term For that region, it may make a city like Tel Aviv insecure for a decade of years or more. It will be a severe economic blow.
Unfortunately, this is also unfortunately: any drone falls a large area, and this may happen within countries that are not a party to the conflict. But this is expected.
Nuclear barter!
This is a complex situation because the conversation here deals with “deterrence” specifically. If Iran threatens to launch such an attack, Israel will inevitably respond with its nuclear bombs, which will lead to the worst possible result. Any type of nuclear exchange will mean a complete failure of the entire theory or doctrine.
Green believes that nuclear scientific ability or ability is all that matters to Iran’s security. It is already present and cannot be extracted by force. It is too late.
Iran is able to eliminate Israel with “dirty” bombs. However, unlike the Israelis, who are planning to destroy the entire planet if things get worse for them, the Iranians enjoy Big self -esteem, which prevents them from making an entire area unlikely to be lifeAlthough they are definitely able to do so, today!
This ability can be sold at the right price. There is a possible bright future here because Iran has an important thing that can be bartial: it can abandon highly enriched uranium in exchange for Israel’s abandonment of its nuclear weapons.
In the ideal mode, the two parties will agree to reduce fertilization to appropriate levels of applications or civil uses only. Both of them will be ratified by the Nuclear Proliferation Treaty, and they allow the IAEA inspections.
The nuclear weapons -free Middle East will be a relief source of almost all the inhabitants of the planet. Of course, the two countries will retain the ability to develop nuclear weapons in the future, as is the case when the Western Empire collapses under the weight of its greed and its violent repression, and global chaos flourishes in an unprecedented glory.
Future whistle
The obstacle here is a constant Israeli insistence that Iran be the ability to enrich zero, a ridiculous demand that only a person like Donald Trump and members of his government will be accepted. But he may have learned from the embarrassing failure of his recent adventures in the diplomacy of power.
The Iranians do not possess, and they do not want to have explosive nuclear weapons, even though they want to develop them one day if necessary. Who does not want it, and he lives near a very hateful Zionist entity?
In light of all of the above, Green believes that at the present time, Iran and others have the right to enrich uranium for civil use. Everyone has the right to do so. Any talk about “enrichment” is just nonsense.
The Israelis will simply accept the facts of life for change. Iran appears to have imposed some of these facts recently, which surprised them. Well done by doing so.
It is known for decades in nuclear policy literature that nuclear weapons are not for use but rather for deterrence. And deterrence here means protecting nuclear states and leading them from geopolitical tulture, nuclear blackmail and existential threat.
One of the most prominent results of the Ukraine war was that it proved the useless nuclear weapons in traditional geopolitical conflicts. Russia possesses thousands of heads/ nuclear bombs of all strategic, tactical levels and possibly limited operational processes, but it did not use it and does not seem to do.
The best nuclear matter was that Russia climbed threats or rather nuclear warnings of Europe, without a lot, and made adjustments to the Russian nuclear doctrine nearly two years ago to confirm the credibility of these warnings.
This in general confirms the limited nuclear weapons role in military conflicts and the limitation of waving use to push the existential threat to nuclear nations and its vital interests, as it defines it, of course.
The opinions in the article do not necessarily reflect the editorial position of Al -Jazeera.