The confrontation between Israel and Iran is witnessing an unprecedented escalation, as Israeli sources quoted occupation army Today, Sunday, “Israel has a large list of targets in Iran has not yet been hit,” with violent Iranian response and an ongoing escalation in the attacks.
Analysts said – in various statements to Al -Jazeera Net – that the steadfastness of the two parties in this confrontation depends on their capabilities to bear the mutual strikes, and the extent to which the strategic goals that led them to enter this confrontation, in light of the Israeli civil society bearing serious repercussions that pay for the first time in the wars that Israel fought in the region.
Analysts fear that confrontations between Israel and Iran will turn into a multi -front war in regionally and internationally, with extensive strategic repercussions, especially as Israel wants to dismantle the Iranian regime or weaken it largely in a way that achieves its strategic superiority in the region.
This is in exchange for an Iranian desire to defeat Israel that improves its regional position and its position in negotiations on its nuclear program and lifting international sanctions on it.
The steadfastness of both sides
When looking at the details of the confrontation between the two parties this time, it will be different from the nature of the previous or current traditional wars that Israel has fought with the countries of the region, in terms of the nature of the strategic goals or the extent of the damage that civil society will bear on both sides.
The internal front in Israel is considered by the academic and expert in Israeli affairs, Muhannad Mustafa, a direct party in the conflict and is not just a back support area. Therefore, Mustafa warns that the ability of Israeli society to bear a long confrontation will remain limited, especially in light of Emergency Continuing, political divisions and internal protests, in addition to psychological harm resulting from the continuous threat of Iran’s missiles.
In addition to the above, the extent of the damage to the internal front in Israel as a result of the ongoing Israeli aggression on Gaza Strip Since October 2023, the negative consequences of civil society in Israel from the impact of the battles and the length of time, without achieving the goals announced by the prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
With regard to the internal front in Iran, the director of the new vision center for studies and media in Iran Mahdi Azizi refers to the “cohesion of the Iranian home front”, stressing that “the Iranian regime has a wide popular base and strategic and geographical precautions that make it more able to withstand the current losses” as a result of Israeli strikes.
Although the extent of the damage that the Iranian infrastructure receives from the Israeli attacks is large, Iran has the ability to repair the medium -term damage, in the event that it has not been subjected to continuous strikes that fully weaken its defense capacity, according to my dear.
As for the researcher at the Al -Jazeera Center for Studies, Mekki, he believes that the continuation of the fighting depends on the availability of the resources of multiplication and confrontation on both parties, in addition to external factors, especially if international concerns escalate the expansion of the conflict.
Makki confirms that the two parties have so far possess the will to fight and the ability to continue, but the collapse point may be close if the violent mutual attacks continue, or if one of the parties is unable to provide resources, or maintain internal cohesion.
The expansion of the fronts
It is estimated that regional and international intervention is a candidate to expand to a large extent, and several parties may interfere in the confrontations, and according to analysts, these interventions may be directly in the conflict and the fronts of the fighting, and may be through support and support politically and militarily, with the exclusion of any Arab party in the confrontation directly.
The researcher at the Al -Jazeera Center for Studies said that the repeated Iranian threats of regional parties carried extensive warning messages to Azerbaijan, due to historical and geographical differences between the two countries. Noting the strong relationships For Azerbaijan With Israel, where its military bases contribute to strengthening the Israeli ability to target strategic places in the heart of Iran.
At the international level, analysts warn – in their statements to Al -Jazeera Net – of the possibility of the United States and Britain’s entrepreneurship directly if Israel is unable to achieve its goals or its losses escalated, as Israel’s failure will weaken its regional position and give Iran negotiating points in any future discussions on its nuclear file or sanctions.
Mahdi Azizi’s statements also highlight the Western intelligence role – not the British – in providing support for Israel, whether through electronic monitoring or special operations on Iranian soil.
On the part of Iran, it highlights mediation attempts led by the Sultanate of Oman, Italy and Russia, in addition to efforts by Saudi Arabia in light of its last position in support of dialogue and political solutions, according to analysts.
My dear believes that Iran rejects any agreement that does not guarantee its national interests, and is pushing for the lifting of international sanctions and guarantees that the Israeli attacks are not repeated, considering that the Iranian position derives its strength from cohesion The home front And its willingness to bear the consequences of the confrontation.
Strategic goals
Upon writing this report, the Iranian Tasnim News Agency reported that a new wave of Iranian missile attacks on Israel had started, while Israeli media said that there are reports of a new wave of missiles on its way to Israel.
Israeli sources also reveal the existence of a “large list of targets” that have not yet been hit inside Iran, in reference to the continuation of the Israeli military operations and their escalation in the next stage.
Makki’s meeting confirms that the Israeli targets are not limited to disrupting the Iranian nuclear program, but rather extending to the missile capabilities and bases Revolutionary Guard And vital installations and oil and industrial infrastructure, with the aim of undermining the strength of the Iranian regime and destabilizing its stability internally.
On the other hand, Mahdi Azizi asserts that Iran has expanded its targets to include the depth of Israeli lands, with a focus on targeting Israeli military bases, sensitive installations and infrastructure, including the energy and transportation sector. He believes that Iran has the ability to cause strategic damage to Israel that leads to an internal confusion, especially if it succeeds in activating parallel fronts in Lebanon and Gaza.
For his part, Muhannad Mustafa confirms that Israel is aware of its inability to destroy Iranian nuclear program Fullly, but it is betting on returning it years back through the continuous sabotage and targeting processes, in addition to seeking to weaken the Iranian regime and achieving a state of accumulated exhaustion, while Iran puts its main goal in preventing Israel from achieving these goals and maintaining its strategic power as a permanent deterrent.
It appears that the confrontation between Israel and Iran has entered a complex stage, as fears increase from a wide regional and international escalation, in light of the survival of the two parties in a state of alert and insisting on achieving deep strategic goals that exceed the topical gains.
It seems that the end of the confrontation will remain hostage to the ability of either side to withstand under pressure, and how ready The international community To intervene or exert pressure to stop the escalation, especially in light of statements currently from the American President Donald Trump That there are contacts and meetings that are now taking place to bring peace between Iran and Israel.