Analysts unanimously agreed that the widening gap between the Israeli government and the military establishment reflects a deep crisis caused by the continuation of the war on Gaza StripAnd the failure of a government Benjamin Netanyahu In achieving its declared goals, on top of which is the return of the prisoners and achieving what it describes as “absolute victory”, while what is described as “the Gaza swamp” is deepened.
Military and strategic experts describe the current field situation as a multi -faceted dilemma, as there is no decisive indicators on the horizon, while the war is exhausted by the Israeli army, society and economy quickly, threatening to disintegrate the structure of the state itself, and not only a failure in the combat mission.
In this context, the military and strategic expert, Brigadier Elias Hanna, said that the Israeli army has so far failed to translate political and military targets on the ground, explaining that the kidnapped are still in the grip of the resistance, and the military operations that are said to be slowly to protect the soldiers, the results have not been taken from what preceded it.
Hanna pointed out in his speech to the events path program that the Israeli strategy has changed repeatedly during the war, from a rapid entry and exit to the entry and survival and then immunization, all of which incurred significant human losses, at a time when the major goals were not achieved, while the resistance carries out continuous depletion operations that complicate the field and political accounts of the occupation.
For his part, Dr. Muhannad Mustafa, the academic and expert on Israeli affairs, said that Israel is in a “obvious” situation between the failure of victory in the military and the impossibility of ending the war with a political agreement, which puts the government and the army in a continuous dilemma, amid an interview in the Hebrew newspapers about drowning in the “Gaza swamp”.
Mustafa explained that this intraocular situation cannot tolerate the long time, in the absence of a plan to get out of the war and the inability to expand military, which introduces Israel in the pattern of chronic depletion that negatively affects internal security, economics, and unity of society, and makes the same time one of the most powerful enemies of Netanyahu politically.
New tracks
In turn, Dr. Meak Makki, the first researcher at the Al -Jazeera Center for Studies, said that Israel entered into a war in which it lost the ability to control its path and its end, and that Netanyahu is no longer able to achieve its declared goal to liquidate the Islamic Resistance Movement. (agitation), Indeed, the resistance resistance imposes new paths on the war, and undermines the Israeli official discourse.
Makki pointed out that Israeli estimates, such as what the newspaper “Yediot Aharonot” publishes, confirms that Hamas still maintains combat ability, and there are no indications of its disintegration, which reflects a different reality of what the government promotes. He also warned that the cost of the war escalated politically, morally and economically, may push Washington to intervene to impose stopping operations.
Brigadier Elias Hanna stressed that the indicators of exhaustion within the Israeli army are clear, especially with the increasing use of female soldiers and reserves, and the cost of the reserve soldier daily about 45 thousand shekels, in addition to the excessive use of ammunition, including ancient ammunition from the 1950s, which reflects the depth of attrition.
Hanna pointed out that the criterion of “victory” in the Israeli doctrine is related to rapid decisiveness and the presentation of a political achievement, which are completely absent elements in the current battle, in the absence of the army’s ability to provide field decisiveness, the decline in the morale of the internal front, and the increasing questions of the soldiers about the goal of the continuation of the fighting.
And d. Muhannad Mustafa until the government’s confidence declining in exchange for high support for the army, specifically for the chief of staff Eyal ZamirIt reveals a deep social gap. Zamir realizes the importance of the “People’s Army” to preserve the legitimacy of the military establishment, and for this he takes the positions of contradiction to Netanyahu, especially regarding recruitment Haridim.
Mustafa pointed out that Zamir decided to issue 50 thousand summons to Al -Haridim at the beginning of next July, not only to cover the human shortage, but to enhance the social legitimacy of the army, while Netanyahu deals with this file with a political view, which reflects the beginning of a cracking between the political and military institutions.
As for the researcher for Makki, he considered that the Israel crisis is rooted in the structure of the entity itself, and not only a military crisis. He said that the worsening social conflict, especially between the religious and secular, in addition to the decline in the image of Israel as a security and democratic oasis for the Jews, will lead in the future to an opposite migration and internal disintegration.
He believed that the loss of Israel is its position as a deterrent and sanctuary force for the Jews, and its transformation into a moral burden on its Western allies raises fundamental questions about its survival, especially if the war continues and the division deepens, which may accelerate the reconsideration of its regional strategies and directions.
Extending the war
Brigadier Hanna warned that the failure of the hostage to the hostages through military operations threatens to prolong the war in vain, stressing that the process of Nuseirat, during which 4 prisoners were liberated, took place with a very expensive special operation, which resulted in the killing of hundreds of Palestinians, but it did not achieve a model to be built on.
He indicated that the resistance realized the seriousness of this process and modified the rules of engagement, which makes any future attempt to liberate the prisoners in the field fraught with the possibility of killing them, which puts the army and the government in a great dilemma, as they cannot declare failure or continue to risk, which enhances the necessity of going towards a comprehensive deal.
According to Dr. Muhannad Mustafa, the contradiction between the restoration of prisoners and the elimination of the resistance has become clear, and the army itself has become more realistic in reading this file, which led to different positions between him and the government, which may lead to the refraction of the solid wall that Netanyahu tried to build between them.
Mustafa said that the decisive factor in changing the course of the war is no longer the street or the families of the prisoners, but rather the military establishment, which began to move away from the government and feel the danger of continuing the existing approach, which may lead to a fundamental change in the balance of the decision within Israel.
In the same context, Dr. Makki explained that the resistance is running the hostage paper in a way that strikes the credibility of the Israeli novel, and that the use of this paper as a “existential” tool makes it impossible to achieve a field victory without a deal, which undermines the entirety of the government’s account and dedicates the resistance narrative.
At the end of the episode, Mustafa said that Israeli voices from the prevailing current, such as journalist Beni Darr Yamini, began to speak publicly about the “Gaza swamp” and its existential damage to Israel, warning against the loss of national immunity and internal unity, which increases Netanyahu’s dilemma complicated, especially with the decrease of its strengths one by one.