Does Netanyahu’s plan succeed in a “new Middle East” or does the Arabs impose a different reality? | policy

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After the raids carried out by Israel with the American participation of Iranian nuclear facilities, Tel Aviv seemed to be moving with the most powerful force to redraw the area of ​​the region armed with what it describes as a “strategic victory” on the most dangerous enemy, and a promoter of an idea New Middle East Its position recedes Iran The Palestinian issue fades.

The map presented by the Israeli Prime Minister was not Benjamin Netanyahu Months before the United Nations and absent from it West Bank AndGaza Strip Just a symbolic picture, according to the followers, it represents part of an Israeli perception of a new regional reality in which the issues stuck by force are resolved, and progress in it. Israel To the forefront of the scene as a dominant power, not as actor between others.

In this context, the first researcher at the Al -Jazeera Center for Studies, Dr. Mekki, believes in his talk to the “Path of Events” program that the strike against Iran was nothing but the culmination of a series of operations that targeted what Israel calls “Tehran agents”, from Gaza to Lebanon.

According to Makki, the Israeli project is not limited to the dismantling of the Iranian axis, but also extends to the imposition of a new Middle Eastern model based on economic cooperation and security discipline, and excludes everyone who opposes it.

The Israeli vision – as it describes it – is based on the liquidation of the forces outside the control of the state, and the transformation of the countries of the region into the entities of a “printing press” preoccupied with development, while the anti -Israel groups are investigated and the non -consistent regimes are besieged with the logic of the market and Western alliances.

Major political transformations

The last battle does not seem just a military strike, according to Tel Aviv, Iran has become far from possessing the nuclear capacity, which paves the way for major political transformations, yet Makki indicates that this ambition overlooks the size of the complications in the region, and carries something of vanity that may collide again with facts that are not easily broken.

As for the expert in Israeli affairs, Muhannad Mustafa, he talks about 3 Israeli approaches to see the new Middle East: The first appeared in the nineties of the last century when he was linked Shimon Peres Between peace with the Palestinians and the integration of Israel in the region, the second was to overcome the Palestinian issue in favor of a rapid and direct normalization with the Arabs.

As for the current approach led by Netanyahu, it is based on military superiority alone, and it does not need agreements or peace proposals, but rather a striking force that silences opponents and imposes a new rhythm on the region, and thus Tel Aviv does not return to a political solution, but rather seeks to liquidate the Palestinian issue by force in parallel with the dismantling of Iranian influence.

Based on these pillars, Israel sees that weakening the axis of the resistance and resolving the Palestinian conflict in its favor are inevitably leading to a wide normalization with the Arabs, and it is due – according to Mustafa – to the ancient Gabotinsky theory, “The Arabs do not accept Israel unless it is an indomitable force.”

But the data on the ground does not go in this direction with imaginative ease, even if Iran receives a painful blow – as Washington and Tel Aviv says – its ability to rebuild it Its nuclear program It did not fade, and the Arab parties – especially Saudi Arabia and Egypt – have not yet been assumed by an Israeli leadership to the region.

American vision of the region

In turn, the military expert, Dr. Ahmed Al -Sharifi, believes that the American vision of the new Middle East goes beyond Israel alone, and aims to reshape the geography of American interests similar to the European Union experience, but in a way that serves strategic balances in the face of Washington opponents, from Tehran to Beijing.

Al -Sharifi does not rule out that the United States is in the process of engineering a new regional structure that brings together the allies and excludes opponents, but this does not mean – from his point of view – that Israel will be the only locomotive of the project, as the Gulf states and some regional capitals such as Ankara, Doha and Riyadh are effective in the equation, and possesses papers that make it an unsound partner.

In the background of these accounts, the Palestinian issue returns to the forefront despite all the attempts to marginalize, as Al -Sharifi sees. Saudi Arabia, for example, did not abandon its conditions to join the normalization knee, foremost of which is the establishment of a Palestinian state on the basis of international legitimacy decisions, but rather it is working on an international crowd to launch a special conference of this goal.

According to Makki, this movement does not deviate from the path of confronting the Israeli vision, which is betting on deleting the Palestinian issue from the political memory, and that major Gulf development projects such as NEOM are proceeding with its way without the need for an Israeli partnership, but may exceed it and limit its impact.

The American role in this context is not reduced to Tel Aviv’s military support. There are indications of a desire to contain Iran instead of dropping it. Rather, the US President’s statements are. Donald Trump – Before returning to escalation- I carried messages addressed to Tehran inviting her to join the international regime in exchange for lifting the sanctions.

Crystallization of the new axis

However – as Makki says – the nature of the Iranian regime does not allow easily to accept such an offer unless Tehran loses the last remaining of its ideological balance, and even in the event of retreat does not seem to be able to impose a single regional reality, especially in light of the crystallization of a new axis that includes Türkiye and some Arab capitals.

This axis – which is some of its features, the growing relationship between Ankara and Riyadh and the return of Syria to the Arab Communication Department – may represent – according to Makki – as an actually parallel to the Israeli vision, and that the development and crystallization of it will be transformed without the imposition of the Middle East that Tel Aviv dreams, and the scene will reshape differently.

The Israeli failure appears in resolving the Battle of Gaza and its hesitation in imposing a final settlement in the West Bank, the limits of what the military force could do.

Despite all the American support, the Palestinian issue remains difficult to liquidate as long as it regains its presence whenever some people think that it has disappeared.

While Netanyahu is trying to present himself as the maker of the major transformations, Mustafa believes that the Israeli interior is witnessing a struggle between two streams: the first is a strategic that seeks rational settlements, and the second is an ideological ideology that rejects any solution that does not include absolute domination.

At the present moment, Washington appears to be a representative of Trump, betting on saving the first by empowering Netanyahu politically, even if it is necessary to reshape the ruling coalition.

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