Become Russian -Ukrainian war On a date with a new stage after the recent mutual escalation, and the negotiations aimed at ending the continuous war in 3 years, amid the contradiction of the interests of the regional and international parties concerned with the war.
This comes, while the Russian Ministry of Defense announced on June 6, 2025, the direction of an intense missile strike targeting design offices, military industry institutions, Ukrainian training centers and other energy sites and vital points, in response to the recent Kiev attacks that targeted 4 Russian military airports and dozens of planes in it.
Analysts believe that mutual escalation led to tensions that reflected the progress of the negotiations held in Türkiye, which threatens the course of dialogue and a plan. cease-fire And reach a Haddah, as this escalation puts great challenges to international efforts and mediations aimed at finding a peaceful solution that ends the conflict.
Stress in partial deals
It appears that the charged atmosphere between Russia and Ukraine did it even at the level of partial deals, as the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Ukraine It is a delay in implementing a deal to exchange the bodies of soldiers, numbering about 6 thousand, to become an indefinite suspension.
Russian presidential spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, considered that “Kiev’s arguments” are not going to proceed with the deal “unlikely to be reasonable”, while Dmitry Medvedev, Vice President Security Council The Russian that “Kiev does not receive the bodies of her soldiers because she is afraid to admit that there are 6 thousand bodies and do not want to pay compensation to the widows of the soldiers.”
For his part, the Ukrainian President said Volodimir Zellinski This issue needs a very careful study and verify everything, adding that “among the 6,000 bodies, only 15% of the soldiers’ identities have been identified,” according to the newspaper “Ukrainskaya Pravda”.
Later, the Ukrainian government agency responsible for the file announced, on Wednesday, the bodies of about 1212 of its soldiers who were killed in Russia in one of the largest operations of its kind since the start of the Russian attack more than 3 years ago.
Is the West colluding with the Ukrainian attack?
From Russia’s point of view, Ukraine initiated its attacks with marches in the depth of Russian territory a day before negotiations with the aim of thwarting them and pushing from sides inside the United States and Europe that want the war to continue.
In confirmation from Moscow of its view of the existence of a Western complicity with Ukraine, which is not announced to thwart the negotiations, the head of the Russian negotiating delegation, Vladimir Midinski, said that the Ukrainian delegation in the 2022 negotiations seemed more independent and freedom than it was, pointing out that the peace treaty could have been signed on February 28, 2022 if Ukraine wanted to do so and took decisions by itself According to the RT channel.
But a Ukraine government official told Reuters the day after the attack that Ukraine had not previously thought of the attacks, which was confirmed by sources in the administration of President Donald Trump, by saying to the American CBS that the White House was not aware of the attack.
The director of the GSM Center for Strategic Research and expert on Russian affairs, Asif Melhem, believes that the unprecedented Ukrainian attack wants to hinder and detonate negotiations, adding that the Russian side “immediately understood the message and sent his delegation to Turkey, because Russia wants to reach a fair, comprehensive and long -term peace.”
For his part, researcher Mahmoud Alloush believes that the conditions that can transfer the level of the political path from the level of discussion and intensive diplomacy to the level of actual production of solutions are still far or not yet matured, “noting in an interview with Al -Jazeera Net that” perhaps in the coming period there will remain a state of lack of clarity in a race between the political and military path, and that this war will only end with a political settlement. “
Despite the cold Russian abuse with the Ukrainian attack, which was described as bold and unprecedented, the observers unanimously agreed that the Russian president Vladimir Putin He will not let him pass without a harsh response, which happened on June 6 with Moscow directed its largest attack on Ukraine since the war began, which left the dead, wounded and targeting military facilities and iron mark.
In his comment, the expert Melhem concluded in his speech to Al -Jazeera Net to exclude the possibility of holding a meeting – in light of the atmosphere of mutual escalation – between the Russian president and his Ukrainian counterpart.
European interests between war and peace
While European countries support the path of peace between Moscow and Kiev, they are afraid that ending the war in a way that allows Russia to declare its victory to damage to its strategic security and the need to restore its system for collapsed deterrence, especially in light of the decline in the American military umbrella in Europe.
Since the beginning of the Ukrainian -Russian crisis, European countries have provided material and military support amounting to about 138 billion euros, with more than 23 billion euros, which was provided by the United States of America and about 64 billion euros, according to estimates of the official Ukrainian support site.
Several European countries from within and outside the European Union, according to a French and German proposal, announced their involvement in talks to form a military coalition aimed at protecting Ukraine and sending forces to it in the event of an agreement to stop the war, and countries in Western Europe expressed their support for the idea or their willingness to discuss it.
What will European countries earn from pumping all this aid even though they are living in a suffocating economic crisis in recent years?
These data indicate a European adherence to an important role in the course of the war in Ukraine and also in the way it is ended, in accordance with European interests at the security, military and geopolitical levels.
Dr. Mahmoud Alloush believes that “European countries have an interest in being a peace between Russia and Ukraine, but this peace does not mean a victory for Russia, so they are facing a big problem now, and they believe that American push towards any peace with Russia can lead to counterproductive results on their interests.”
Alloush believes that European engagement in supporting the peace process is vital and important and it will be necessary to make the chances of this process successful, but they have a great concern for this path on the one hand, and from the American policy that Trump pursues in relation to the war and his relationship with Russia on the other hand.
It can be said that Europe can obstruct any peace that does not achieve its interests and sees that it achieves victory for Russia and does not guarantee a fair peace between Moscow and Kiev, according to the researcher and the political analyst.
A continuous but calculated Russian escalation
Experts and analysts expect that the Russian response will not stand at the borders of the June 6 attacks, but rather will be the beginning of military escalation in multiple Ukrainian regions, as the Ukrainian authorities revealed on June 9, 2025 that Russia attacked the country with about 479 marches in one night, and it considered it the largest record for attacks Drivers aircraft Since the beginning of the conflict.
And on the way of the recent Russian response to the recent Ukrainian attacks and the possibility of its continuity, political expert Asif Melhem said, “The Ukrainian side wanted to provoke Russia To do a nuclear cold, because targeting Ukraine With a nuclear bomb A tactical will lead to the escape of all money, expertise, industries and skills from Europe to America, and this thing was immediately realized by Russia, so it is not concerned with any nuclear response to Ukraine, knowing that what Kiev did this response.
For his part, the researcher in international relations Mahmoud Alloush stressed that “this escalation can undermine the new opportunities to advance the path of the peace process between Russia and Ukraine, but this path is still strong despite the escalation of a set of considerations.”
In the opinion of Alloush, Russia and Ukraine need a political solution that ends this war, and also in line with the transformation of the American position after Trump took power and focusing on the path of peace, which has become closer to realism than it was in previous years, in addition to the diplomacy of Turkey, which is a helper factor to enhance peace opportunities between the two countries.
He believes that Russia is trying to neutralize the Ukrainian issue from the relationship with the United States, as it tries to settle its problems with America and leave the Ukrainian crisis as if it is a European crisis that America has nothing to do with.