5/7/2025–|Last update: 14:18 (Mecca time)
In his article in the British Guardian newspaper, journalist Jason Burke deals with the increasing indicators of a ceasefire in Gaza After nearly 21 months of war.
The writer says that the question is now no longer whether it will be agreed to calm down, but rather that this will be done, in light of political and military transformations that made the circumstances prepared for a new agreement.
He explains that one of the most prominent of these transformations is Israel’s prior approval of a new deal, and the statement of the US President Donald Trump Friday that it is expected from the Islamic Resistance Movement (agitationAcceptance of the agreement within 24 hours.
It is expected that the agreement will be officially announced after the visit of the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu To Washington, the third since the beginning of the current Trump state.
The third of its kind
The upcoming shooting stop will be the third of its kind since the outbreak of the war, after a short truce in November 2023, and another that Israel was forced last February under pressure from Trump, but later collapsed.
The new truce seems to be different in terms of the surrounding conditions and motives that may make it to be resilient this time, according to the author.
One of the basic factors that Burke offered to what he believes is the new truce will be different, is the shift in the balance of power after the short conflict between Israel andIran Last month, which ended with American intervention.
This conflict weakened Tehran and its allies in the region, including Hamas, and raising Netanyahu’s position in the Israeli interior, although opinion polls did not show a significant increase in its popularity or in support Likud party.
Jason Burke: The new truce looks different in terms of the surrounding conditions and motives that may make it to be steadfast this time
Political batch of Netanyahu
But Burke explains that Netanyahu’s symbolic gains, especially the popular feeling of “victory” over Iran gave him a political boost. If he can end the Gaza war with an agreement that brings back some hostages and guarantees a fight to fight, he may enter the upcoming elections as he presents himself as “he restored security” to Israel.
Burke notes that the popularity of the ceasefire increased between the Israelis, especially with the number of army deaths in Gaza, as 20 soldiers fell in June only. This makes the agreement a political opportunity for Netanyahu, especially in light of the upcoming parliamentary holiday that gives it a margin of maneuver, away from the risk of withdrawing confidence or judicial pressure.
Berke concludes his article that this timing is a rare moment that may allow a stop to fight, due to the convergence of several factors: “weakness of Hamas”, Netanyahu’s desire to stabilize a political achievement, and a great international pressure led by the Trump administration, but he adds that the success of the truce will not be achieved unless serious negotiations on the future of Gaza, which has not yet been decided.