Iran and Israel .. Who ignites the next confrontation? | policy

On the silence of the defender, the questions began to multiply about the one who came out of Rabaha and who lost in the recent Iran -Israeli war, amid official media discharge and scarcity in field data, which made the analyzes swing between victory and victory.

The new episode of the “Panorama Net” program reviewed the dimensions of this confrontation and its regional results, focusing on 4 main stations that included the results of mutual strikes, Israel’s position on the Iranian nuclear file, the horizon of mutual deterrence, and the possibilities of renewed war in light of the emerging political and military accounts.

In this context, the Jordanian writer and analyst, Arab Al -Rantawi, asked about the fate of the war, saying that “the noise of expectations is no less than the noise of the battles,” noting that its results and repercussions are still pending in the balance of possibilities, amid unlimited questions about whether the war has ended a stage or opened a door to confront the violence.

At the Israeli interior, media reports showed that the war did not achieve its entire targets, as Israeli newspapers quoted Israeli ministers to call them until the next round is more beautiful, leading to the undermining of the Iranian regime itself, considering that the ceasefire does not represent the end of the conflict, but rather the start of the “second stage.”

Analytical reports highlighted that Tel Aviv will focus in the next stage to raise chaos inside Iran by intensifying intelligence efforts and stimulating popular discontent, but this approach may collide with internal transformations that followed the war, most notably the vigilance of the Iranian security services.

According to Newsweek, Tehran carried out a security campaign during which it arrested hundreds of people on charges of spying for Israel, and 6 of them executed, which observers described as a pre -emptive blow to any attempts to destabilize Iranian internal stability.

The situation in Tehran

In Tehran, Al -Jazeera Net correspondent reported that the capital began to regain its usual fresh pace, as the markets and public facilities opened their doors naturally, in a scene that reflects the desire of the Iranian street to fold the page of confrontation, even if temporarily, and focus on economic and living conditions.

Danny Citrinovich, Iranian affairs expert at the 13th Israeli channel, said that the results of the war confirmed the weakness of the opposition inside Iran, saying, “There is no opposition capable of being a substitute for the current regime, and this is what the moment of the war revealed.”

On the American side, President Donald Trump rushed to employ the results of strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities to enhance his political balance, stressing that his country achieved a “complete victory”, and promised a new agreement with Tehran to reformulate the game rules in the region.

But American media institutions – based on intelligence reports – questioned the impact of these strikes, noting that they did not delay the Iranian nuclear project except for limited months, considering that what happened is closer to a military parade than him to an effective deterrent strategy.

In this context, Al -Jazeera Net published an analysis that any air strike, no matter how accurate, could not be decisive without its integration with coordinated field and diplomatic steps, which was not achieved during this war, which made its results limited to the influence on the ground.

As for the American envoy to the Middle East, Steve Wittouf, he indicated that Washington is involved in promising talks with Tehran, whether directly or through intermediaries, expressing his hope to reach a long -term peace agreement that ends the open escalation phase.

Iraqi front

In the midst of these tensions, the program monitored a remarkable position represented in the calm of the Iraqi front despite the escalation witnessed by the region, which was explained by some analysts in the unwillingness of the Iraqi Shiite factions to receive the fate of the Lebanese Hezbollah, or the risk of its political and economic gains within the Iraqi state.

Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shi’a Al -Sudani said that his country has succeeded in sparing its people the tragedies of the war, stressing that Iraq will continue the policy of distancing the neighborhood conflicts, and focusing on its internal stability and its supreme national interests.

On the Turkish side, one of the Turkish writers indicated that Ankara may be on its way to confront an inevitable confrontation with Israel, reviewing 3 decisive elements that must be available in any future confrontation, which is military readiness, the unity of the internal front and the regional Islamic support.

At the end of the episode, the conversation returned again to the central question: Was the war really ended or did it turn into another form? Analysts believe that the next political rams on the negotiating table may not be less bloody than the battlefields, especially since the balance of power after this tour is still fragile.

The Egyptian writer Mahmoud Sultan warned that mutual deterrence may prevent the outbreak of a major war in the short term, but it may collapse at any moment, especially if the major powers fail to contain the escalation or the wrong accounts between the conflicting parties are exacerbated.

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