28/6/2025–|Last update: 16:28 (Mecca time)
The Israeli newspaper “Maariv” highlighted political and security assessments indicating that the last ceasefire between Israel and Iran – in American sponsorship – did not end the battle between the two parties, but rather sees that it is the beginning of a new more dangerous stage.
Anna Brasky quoted the newspaper’s political correspondence to Israeli political assessments that she believes that the question is no longer “will the fighting resume?” Rather, “when on what front will be the next round?”
Despite the relative calm, Israel continues to consider the endowment of the Iranian nuclear program “a higher national goal” while Iran refuses to abandon its nuclear project. The political correspondence confirms that the players have not changed, and that the game continues, in the absence of any illusion that the conflict has ended.
This vision is based on a statement by Mossad President David Bernie, a day and a half after the ceasefire is valid, in which he said, “We will continue to monitor all projects in Iran, which we know deeply, and we will be there as we have been so far,” which Israeli observers considered to be a sign that calm is temporary.
The report considers that the ceasefire was not the result of a strategic settlement, but rather a temporary balance in interests, as Israel sought to achieve a tactical achievement by destroying Iranian nuclear facilities and military bases, while avoiding Iran An open confrontation with the American Air Force, who attacked nuclear reactors in Fordo, Isfahan and Natanz.
The newspaper’s political correspondence adds that the ceasefire agreement, which was carried out by an American, lacks regulatory mechanisms or permanent communication channels, and does not include clear obligations to stop the Iranian nuclear program or long -range missile program.
Brasky believes that this situation is explosive at any moment, whether by a missile from Lebanon or a drone from Yemen Or even a media report on an attack in Syria.
Israeli estimates warn of a new pattern of conflict, which are short, focused, but destructive tours. Every few months are repeated in multiple arenas such as Lebanon Growria The Gulf, which threatens the stability of the region and requires an increasingly American intervention to try to prevent escalation from reaching a comprehensive confrontation.
The correspondence confirms that “the existing tension, lack of confidence and unresolved conflict, about the future of the Iranian nuclear program, will not disappear automatically even if international parties are involved in Russia or European Union Or the Gulf states in diplomatic endeavors.
Trump and the complications of the crisis
On the American side, Israel believes that Washington will remain present out of interest, especially in light of the presence of the president Donald Trump Which showed contradictory positions towards Iran. He announced the end of the attacks, then returned to confirm the preparation for new strikes. However, the support of Congress for any wide military move is not guaranteed, and the American society is tense towards any new military involvement in the region, and you see that this American hesitation represents “a strategic weakness that may put Israel in front of a difficult dilemma, if it decides to strike another pre -emptive blow.”
The political correspondence of the Israeli newspaper indicates the possibility of deepening the official Iranian positions that reject the nuclear agreement, which impedes any long -term diplomatic settlement.
Trump’s way of dealing with the crisis is criticized, describing it as the mentality of the “entertainment industry”, where he ran the American intervention as if it were a dramatic season of a TV series of surprises, suspense and explosions and then an end that appears satisfactory, he launched a bombing campaign and then a sudden announcement of a cease -fire, as if he was concluding a television season saying in his conclusion thanks for watching, so that he called this tour the “12 -day war.”
But the reality has proven that the mutual bombing continued after the truce was declared despite the American pressure, which raises questions about whether this development represents a turning point towards regional reconciliation or merely a temporary stop before a new round of violence.
The correspondence also indicates that the details of the ceasefire are still mysterious, especially the size of the damage to the Iranian nuclear program, amid conflicts in estimates between White House Who announced that it was destroyed Iranian nuclear program In full, the intelligence reports – which was leaked by the American CNN – said that the damage did not exceed a delay for only a few months.
The correspondent addresses the step made by Trump after the announcement of the ceasefire, which is his demand for Israel to cancel the prime minister’s trial Benjamin Netanyahu And linking it to the alliance between US And Israel.
And you see that beyond this statement is a more clear message, which is “the American defense of Israel requires a price. This price, at least according to the logic that leads Trump, may appear as follows: public cooperation with the American leadership line and maintaining complete political loyalty even in the volatile squares such as the Palestinian issue or the nuclear agreement.”
“Perhaps we will soon discover that the Americans have a draft ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip, and the Israeli government must join it,” she added.
Brasky concludes her report by emphasizing that the conflict between Israel and Iran may remain a candidate for the explosion at any moment, unless Washington decides its matter and decides whether it will continue to hold the initiative or suffice with the margin of observation, as she put it.