Al -Jazeera Net Correspondents
Kyiv – The American President looked Donald Trump A disappointed with the desire of his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin By stopping the war, as Putin insists on achieving his goals, but he is ready to resume negotiations with Ukraine in Istanbul. As for Kiev, it is confused between the two men in an unenviable position, and the relationship between the mirage of peace, the specter of stopping the aid, and having to make more concessions on the table.
This is what the Ukrainian scene seems to be today, but it is more complicated day after day due to mutual shelling and escalation on the fronts, which raises serious questions about the reality of intentions and the efficacy of the entire negotiation process.
The past weeks have witnessed two tourists in Istanbul, but they have not made any progress related to the war, whether by a ceasefire, or the inventory of mutual strikes away from cities and infrastructure facilities, or other military moves on the ground.
The negotiating process did not last long in both times, as she saw that Moscow was not negotiating, but rather “end warnings” means accepting “surrender” without restriction or condition, and therefore the two sides agreed only on a single director with a human nature, so they exchanged thousands of prisoners. But even this agreement seemed to be ashes in the eyes, and thanks and respect for the hostess and the intermediate Türkiye.
Meetings of the meeting
While the Russian Foreign Ministry says that “the delegations are looking to conduct a third round of negotiations in Istanbul,” the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry hints that it “will not be meaningful unless he meets the Ukrainian presidents. Volodimir Zellinski And the Russian Vladimir Putin face face. “
And that is what the Turkish president hid Recep Tayyip Erdogan After the NATO summit “NATOHe even said that his American counterpart, Donald Trump is also ready to participate.
The Ukrainians insist on the direct meeting, because they see that “the Kremlin’s messengers” do not have any powers in the negotiation process, while his master Putin is the only one capable of decision -making.
However, some opinion -holders in Ukraine exclude that this meeting will be soon, including a professor of political science at the University of “Shevchinko” in the capital, Kiev Olisa Yakhlou, who told Al -Jazeera Net that “Putin will not accept the meeting as long as he is in the position of strength and his forces are advancing.”
Here, the question arises about the reason for the two sides talking about the importance of sitting at the table, while the two sides of each other remove a stream of accusations each time, and the head of the Department of Security Studies and Regional Conflict at the “Kushiriev” Foundation for Democratic Initiatives Maria Zolkina by saying that “both sides are ranging into negotiations, for goals far from peace.”
Zolkina explains to Al -Jazeera Net that “Ukraine believes that it will not achieve a fair peace from a weak position, and that its going to Istanbul was the result of a few months of Russian -American rapprochement during the Trump era, and in response to pressure on it,” Zolkina explains to Al -Jazeera Net.
“Ukraine follows three tactics in Istanbul: the first is to avoid the political confrontation with Washington and persuade it that Russia is the problem, the second is to mobilize more European support in light of the American decline, and the third is the revival of the hopes of the tired street with the possibility of reaching an agreement that stops the shooting or ends the war.” “I think it has succeeded to some extent,” she added.
Minsk Model
From the Ukrainian point of view, the Russians enjoy the position of power on the ground, and they want Istanbul negotiations to achieve other goals, which reminds the content of Minsk Conventions in 2014 that gathered between Moscow and Kiev and the separatists loyal to Russia in my Republic Donetsk and Logansk The two popularity.
The expert Zulkina believes that “the Russian tactic seeks to reduce sanctions, and that the melting of the ice between the United States and Russia leads to an inevitable chaos in the European Union environment, with the transcendence of voices supporting Russia between politicians and companies, in the interest of a similar reduction in the pressure of sanctions.”
Also from its point of view, “Russia wants to surrender Ukraine and re -implement the Minsk Agreement at the same time, it links cease-fire The temporary and withdrawalJaconAnd the enactment of laws that prevent Kiev from carrying out any military action in the future against it, in addition to Moscow’s requirement to limit arms and mobilization in Ukraine.
Accordingly, many observers do not expect that the negotiation process will continue indefinitely, but rather they see that it may stop at some point that may be close, as the expert Zulkina believes that “as soon as the United States realizes the useless negotiations – and this is what we see now – the Russians will end in exercising this negotiating role,” she said.
For its part, the professor of political science, Yakhlou, believes that “although Ukraine is not accepted by the demands of the Russians, negotiations should not be dealt with as a clear ignorance by Moscow for the idea of the agreement itself.”
“The demands in the negotiations are directed not only to Ukraine, even if it rejects it, but also to the United States, which Russia hopes to write a new chapter with it, and to carry out a kind of redistribution of spheres of influence and interests around the world.”
For this, Yakhlou believes that Washington completely abandon the Ukraine file, unlikely, regardless of everything that appears to be the opposite; “Trump and Putin in this world are more like players in different championships, and different weight categories. In order for one to overcome the other, they will not give up those who can participate to achieve this, and they are: Ukraine and the former close partners in Europe,” as described.