Washington- The past 24 hours have witnessed a sharp shift from the American President Donald Trump To a more strict approach to IranAs reports indicated his approval of plans to carry out an attack on it, but he has not yet made a final decision.
Reports confirmed that he agreed to these plans last Tuesday night, but he did not make a final decision on whether he would strike Iran and formally join Israeli attacks, pending – perhaps – for Tehran’s approval to abandon its nuclear program.
Trump studied a blow to Fordo facility To enrich uranium underground 150 km southwest of the capital, Tehran, and Israel has not launched any strikes on it since it began to bomb Iranian nuclear and military targets last Friday.
Dramatic shift
However, the American president wants to make sure that the potential attack is necessary, and his country will not be dragged into a long -term war in the Middle East, and that he will actually achieve a destruction goal Iran’s nuclear program.
His position represented a dramatic shift, as yesterday indicated the necessity of “unconditional surrender” from Iran, which was met by the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei With strict rejection, he said, “The Iranian people will not give up.”
Trump’s recent and volatile statements confirm his transformation away from the isolationist elements representing the movement of the movement.Maga” in Republican Party It dominated his administration since he got rid of traditional Republicans in National Security Council Two months ago.
Also, at the same time, he realizes the lack of support for the majority of Americans for military intervention in the ongoing confrontation between Israel and Iran. The YouGov opinion poll conducted by the “Yougov” Foundation revealed the approval of only 16% of Americans on military intervention, and 60% rejected, while 24% expressed their lack of confirmation.
Trump met 3 times his largest aides to consult about the following steps in the context of the confrontation with Tehran. This circle, which is trading on Iranian policy, includes a very small number of officials that combined them with the exception of his deputy JD Vans.
From the members of the group highlights names like a large employee White House Suzy Wales, and Minister of Foreign Affairs Marco RubioAnd the Middle East envoy Steve WitkevAnd the Minister of Defense Higseth HouseAnd the director of the Central Intelligence Agency, John Ratcliffe. While the Director of National Intelligence, Toulcy Gabbard, who is always participating in the decision -making circle close to Trump, was absent from recent meetings on Israel and Iran.
Changing approach
After Trump began conservative on the idea of military intervention, the New York Times indicated how his approach to the Israeli -Iranian war changed with its outbreak. “When he woke up on Friday morning, his favorite television channel, Fox News, was broadcasting pictures of Israeli bombing, which was portrayed as an Israeli military genius. Trump could not resist the demand to return some credit for him in this initial success,” she said.
“In press statements, Trump began to hint that he played a role behind the scenes in the war greater than people realized. Then his position developed to tell those close to him that he is now tending to escalate Washington’s position in line with Israel’s previous request that the United States provide strong bombs to break the fortifications to destroy the Fordo nuclear facility.”
At the same time, the division continues between the Republicans Congress On the level of participation that the United States must follow in the conflict, from working alongside Israel to destroy the Fordo facility, to force Iran to participate in diplomatic negotiations. However, there is a large consensus that is largely a large consensus on the need to support Washington to Israel in what they consider “its right to defend itself.”
Some Republicans argued in Senate That the United States should join Israeli strikes on Iran to help it destroy fortified nuclear sites, especially the Fordo facility, on the pretext that Israel lacks the ability to do so on its own.
However, others have argued that Tel Aviv may have alternative plans to attack Fordo, while others suggested that Washington should retreat and focus on diplomacy unless American citizens or Washington’s interests were subjected to a direct attack.
High cost
Reports indicated that the Iranian reaction to any American attacks will be large, and it may lead to a huge freedom confrontation between them and the closure Hormuz Strait. At the same time, the republican circles associated with the “Mag” movement believe that the cost of engaging in external battles has nothing to justify in the Iranian case.
According to a study conducted by the War cost project at the University of Brown in 2021, it cost the War of Afghanistan and the US Treasury about 3 trillion dollars, and it has a high American human cost, more than 30,000 soldiers committed suicide during their service, or after their retirement in the wars of after September 11 as of June 2021, which is much more than 7057 soldiers who died in the same period.
“The coalition that brought Trump to his position is the one that greatly opposes the military intervention of the United States abroad. They believe, with some justifications, that the costs of prolonged wars in Afghanistan and Iraq greatly outweigh any benefits it achieved.”
He added that they are opposed to military intervention against Iran for these same reasons, which is that the intervention will be costly, and will pay attention to the threat posed by China. They also believe that “no American boy or girl should die in a war that is not our battle.”
However, Rove returned and said, “At the same time, other currents of Trump’s alliance see that the special relationship between the United States and Israel makes their battle our battle and protecting them is an American. It is not clear to any side of the president.