The military and strategic expert, Colonel Hatem Al -Falahi, said that the Ukrainian attack bDrums On a Russian military base in Siberia It represents a qualitative shift in the nature of the battle, and sends a direct message toMoscow About Kyiv’s ability to transfer the war to the Russian depth despite the distance.
Al -Falahi said in a military analysis that this attack reveals an unprecedented intelligence penetration of the Russian interior, noting that the implementation of an air attack of this size requires accurate information and advanced monitoring of military facilities for a distance of thousands of kilometers from the seam lines.
He added that the Ukrainian ability to carry out such operations means the presence of large gaps in the Russian security and defensive systems, and also reflects weakness in protective measures about one of the most important weather rules that embrace bombers of the Russian nuclear trinity.
Reports had talked about an attack by drones targeting the “To-95” and “To-22” strategic bombers at the “Belia” air base in Siberia, which led to extensive fires, in an attack described as the first of its kind more than 4,300 km from the front.
A Ukrainian security official announced to Reuters that the operation targeted more than 40 Russian aircraft, including long -range aircraft that are usually used to launch missiles on targets inside UkraineAnd stressing that the operation came as part of a large -scale attack aimed at weakening the capabilities Russia Air.
Strategic importance
Al -Falahi stressed that these targeted aircraft are a maximum strategic importance for Moscow, as they have a long time that allows them to reach goals in Europe and America without the need for refueling, which makes targeting them a severe blow at the military and moral level.
He added that the attack also directs a double message: the first is Ukrainian, which emphasizes Kiev’s ability to respond outside its traditional borders, and the second from the West, specifically from Washington and European capitals, tells Russia that the continuation of the war without a political settlement will not be without a painful cost.
He pointed out that the participation of more than one party in the implementation of the process, including intelligence and field operators, reveals an advanced operational complexity, which is a new development in the nature of the confrontation, which has become strategic goals in the Russian depth.
Al -Falahi indicated that the recent attack was not separate from similar operations recently, including targeting bridges and railways, as well as previous attacks on Russian air bases. He considered that these operations indicate Ukraine’s dependence on private security work to impose a new equation.
He stressed that the main message that such strikes carry is that Ukraine is still able to transfer the battle to the Russian interior, and that it should not accept the conditions that Moscow is trying to impose through military escalation, especially with the intensification of Russian air attacks.
Real breakthroughs
In his assessment of Russian gaps, Al -Falahi said that the presence of “agents” or collaborators inside Russian territory indicates real breakthroughs in the security services, and confirms that Ukraine not only depends on the marches, but also on a complex intelligence work that extends within the Russian depth.
He stated that the timing of the attack coincides with a great Russian escalation, as Moscow launched hundreds of marches and cruise missiles on Ukrainian soil on the same day, indicating that the parties to the conflict are now fighting an advanced war of depletion at the level of infrastructure and air capabilities.
He considered that targeting distant goals gives the impression that Ukraine seeks political pressure through military tools, especially in light of the intransigence of negotiating solutions, indicating that these strikes may be an attempt to amend the balance of power or push the West towards stricter situations.
Al -Falahi said that choosing strategic goals in Siberia instead of closer areas reflects a political dimension and a deterrent message. The matter was not as tactical as much as it was a beating of Russian prestige by showing the inability to protect rules that are supposed to be highly immunized.
He pointed out that this process strengthens the hypothesis that the battle is no longer confined within the Ukrainian territories only, but also takes the form of an open confrontation, exceeding the limits of traditional geography, and Moscow may force its accounts regarding the prolongation of the war.